26130 · 2026-09-20 00:30 · Finished
塞尔塔 vs 桑坦德竞技AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 5-0（胜）
AI Lean
塞尔塔 win 38.8%
Confidence 4.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 38.8% | 26.9% | 34.4% | 胜 | 4.5% |
| 14-Match | 38.8% | 26.9% | 34.4% | 胜 | 4.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.029
Draw
0.023
Away
0.043
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 1.19 | 2.58 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.72 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.91 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 塞尔塔 vs 桑坦德竞技?
The AI model leans 塞尔塔 win at 38.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 38.8%, draw 26.9%, away 34.4%. Kickoff 2026-09-20 00:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.