26130 · 2026-09-19 22:15 · Finished
毕尔巴鄂 vs 阿拉维斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-0（平）
AI Lean
毕尔巴鄂 win 47.6%
Confidence 17.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 47.6% | 22.6% | 29.8% | 胜 | 17.8% |
| 14-Match | 47.6% | 22.6% | 29.8% | 胜 | 17.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.030
Draw
0.022
Away
0.037
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.10 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.42 | — |
| Away | 2.58 | 1.68 | 3.36 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 毕尔巴鄂 vs 阿拉维斯?
The AI model leans 毕尔巴鄂 win at 47.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 47.6%, draw 22.6%, away 29.8%. Kickoff 2026-09-19 22:15.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.