周四006 · 2026-09-04 03:00 · Finished
皇家社会 vs 塞尔塔AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-0（平）
AI Lean
皇家社会 win 40.0%
Confidence 3.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 40.0% | 36.3% | 23.7% | 胜 | 3.8% |
| 14-Match | 40.0% | 36.3% | 23.7% | 胜 | 3.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.029
Draw
0.030
Away
0.044
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 1.15 | 2.50 | — |
| Draw | 3.63 | 2.36 | 2.76 | — |
| Away | 6.20 | 4.03 | 4.21 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 皇家社会 vs 塞尔塔?
The AI model leans 皇家社会 win at 40.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 40.0%, draw 36.3%, away 23.7%. Kickoff 2026-09-04 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.