26126 · 2026-09-16 01:00 · Finished
巴列卡诺 vs 西班牙人AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
巴列卡诺 win 45.8%
Confidence 16.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 45.8% | 29.6% | 24.6% | 胜 | 16.2% |
| 14-Match | 45.8% | 29.6% | 24.6% | 胜 | 16.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.022
Draw
0.029
Away
0.047
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.28 | 2.13 | 2.18 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.38 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.07 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 巴列卡诺 vs 西班牙人?
The AI model leans 巴列卡诺 win at 45.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 45.8%, draw 29.6%, away 24.6%. Kickoff 2026-09-16 01:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.