26126 · 2026-09-16 02:00 · Finished
阿拉维斯 vs 巴伦西亚AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-1（负）
AI Lean
阿拉维斯 win 59.7%
Confidence 35.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 59.7% | 24.1% | 16.2% | 胜 | 35.7% |
| 14-Match | 59.7% | 24.1% | 16.2% | 胜 | 35.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.028
Draw
0.031
Away
0.052
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.67 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.15 | — |
| Away | 5.63 | 3.66 | 6.17 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 阿拉维斯 vs 巴伦西亚?
The AI model leans 阿拉维斯 win at 59.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 59.7%, draw 24.1%, away 16.2%. Kickoff 2026-09-16 02:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.