26122 · 2026-09-12 03:00 · Finished
塞维利亚 vs 巴伦西亚AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
塞维利亚 win 43.2%
Confidence 11.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 43.2% | 31.7% | 25.1% | 胜 | 11.5% |
| 14-Match | 43.2% | 31.7% | 25.1% | 胜 | 11.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.027
Away
0.050
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 1.26 | 2.32 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.15 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.98 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 塞维利亚 vs 巴伦西亚?
The AI model leans 塞维利亚 win at 43.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 43.2%, draw 31.7%, away 25.1%. Kickoff 2026-09-12 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.