26124 · 2026-09-14 03:00 · Finished
皇家社会 vs 马竞AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-3（负）
AI Lean
马竞 win 35.4%
Confidence 1.0%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 34.3% | 30.3% | 35.4% | 负 | 1.0% |
| 14-Match | 34.3% | 30.3% | 35.4% | 负 | 1.0% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.032
Draw
0.028
Away
0.029
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.91 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.30 | — |
| Away | 2.41 | 1.57 | 2.83 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 皇家社会 vs 马竞?
The AI model leans 马竞 win at 35.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 34.3%, draw 30.3%, away 35.4%. Kickoff 2026-09-14 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.