周六005 · 2026-09-12 20:00 · Finished
桑坦德竞技 vs 阿拉维斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
阿拉维斯 win 44.2%
Confidence 14.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 29.9% | 25.9% | 44.2% | 负 | 14.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.032
Draw
0.025
Away
0.031
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 1.81 | 3.35 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.86 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.26 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 桑坦德竞技 vs 阿拉维斯?
The AI model leans 阿拉维斯 win at 44.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 29.9%, draw 25.9%, away 44.2%. Kickoff 2026-09-12 20:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.