周日003 · 2026-09-13 20:00 · Finished
塞尔塔 vs 马拉加AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
Draw 57.0%
Confidence 32.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 24.7% | 57.0% | 18.3% | 平 | 32.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.038
Draw
0.022
Away
0.045
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 4.04 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 1.76 | — |
| Away | 2.77 | 1.80 | 5.46 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 塞尔塔 vs 马拉加?
The AI model leans Draw at 57.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 24.7%, draw 57.0%, away 18.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-13 20:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.