周一002 · 2026-09-08 01:00 · Finished
赫塔费 vs 塞尔塔AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
塞尔塔 win 46.0%
Confidence 10.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 18.1% | 35.9% | 46.0% | 负 | 10.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.038
Draw
0.030
Away
0.027
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 1.87 | 5.53 | — |
| Draw | 2.67 | 1.74 | 2.79 | — |
| Away | 3.59 | 2.33 | 2.17 | +EV |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 赫塔费 vs 塞尔塔?
The AI model leans 塞尔塔 win at 46.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 18.1%, draw 35.9%, away 46.0%. Kickoff 2026-09-08 01:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.