周一008 · 2026-09-08 03:30 · Finished
埃尔切 vs 皇家社会AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-3（负）
AI Lean
皇家社会 win 41.4%
Confidence 5.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 22.5% | 36.1% | 41.4% | 负 | 5.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.041
Draw
0.027
Away
0.033
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.95 | 3.22 | 4.44 | — |
| Draw | 3.57 | 2.32 | 2.77 | — |
| Away | 1.92 | 1.25 | 2.42 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 埃尔切 vs 皇家社会?
The AI model leans 皇家社会 win at 41.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 22.5%, draw 36.1%, away 41.4%. Kickoff 2026-09-08 03:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.