26117 · 2026-09-05 03:00 · Finished
贝蒂斯 vs 皇马AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
皇马 win 44.6%
Confidence 11.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 22.5% | 33.0% | 44.6% | 负 | 11.6% |
| 14-Match | 22.5% | 33.0% | 44.6% | 负 | 11.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.062
Draw
0.029
Away
0.032
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.07 | 3.30 | 4.45 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.03 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.24 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 贝蒂斯 vs 皇马?
The AI model leans 皇马 win at 44.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 22.5%, draw 33.0%, away 44.6%. Kickoff 2026-09-05 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.