26118 · 2026-09-05 22:15 · Finished
毕尔巴鄂 vs 马竞AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-0（胜）
AI Lean
马竞 win 46.3%
Confidence 13.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 32.8% | 20.9% | 46.3% | 负 | 13.5% |
| 14-Match | 32.8% | 20.9% | 46.3% | 负 | 13.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.037
Draw
0.023
Away
0.041
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.77 | 2.45 | 3.05 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.79 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.16 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 毕尔巴鄂 vs 马竞?
The AI model leans 马竞 win at 46.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 32.8%, draw 20.9%, away 46.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-05 22:15.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.