周日019 · 2026-09-07 00:30 · Finished
阿拉维斯 vs 奥萨苏纳AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 5-2（胜）
AI Lean
奥萨苏纳 win 36.2%
Confidence 2.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 30.4% | 33.4% | 36.2% | 负 | 2.8% |
| 14-Match | 30.4% | 33.4% | 36.2% | 负 | 2.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.030
Draw
0.029
Away
0.038
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 1.65 | 3.29 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 2.99 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.76 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 阿拉维斯 vs 奥萨苏纳?
The AI model leans 奥萨苏纳 win at 36.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 30.4%, draw 33.4%, away 36.2%. Kickoff 2026-09-07 00:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.