周四002 · 2026-08-21 03:00
巴列卡诺 vs 阿拉维斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
AI Lean
巴列卡诺 win 44.0%
Confidence 15.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 44.0% | 27.6% | 28.3% | 胜 | 15.7% |
| 14-Match | 44.0% | 27.6% | 28.3% | 胜 | 15.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.023
Draw
0.032
Away
0.042
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 1.55 | 2.27 | — |
| Draw | 3.15 | 2.05 | 3.62 | — |
| Away | 3.77 | 2.45 | 3.53 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 巴列卡诺 vs 阿拉维斯?
The AI model leans 巴列卡诺 win at 44.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 44.0%, draw 27.6%, away 28.3%. Kickoff 2026-08-21 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.