26105 · 2026-08-16 03:30 · Finished
塞维利亚 vs 巴列卡诺AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
巴列卡诺 win 35.6%
Confidence 2.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 33.3% | 31.1% | 35.6% | 负 | 2.3% |
| 14-Match | 33.3% | 31.1% | 35.6% | 负 | 2.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.046
Draw
0.027
Away
0.043
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 1.86 | 3.00 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.21 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.81 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 塞维利亚 vs 巴列卡诺?
The AI model leans 巴列卡诺 win at 35.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 33.3%, draw 31.1%, away 35.6%. Kickoff 2026-08-16 03:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.