周日018 · 2026-08-16 23:00 · Finished
桑坦德竞技 vs 比利亚雷AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-2（平）
AI Lean
比利亚雷 win 40.6%
Confidence 9.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 31.1% | 28.3% | 40.6% | 负 | 9.5% |
| 14-Match | 31.1% | 28.3% | 40.6% | 负 | 9.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.039
Draw
0.030
Away
0.030
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 3.22 | — |
| Draw | 4.46 | 2.90 | 3.53 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.46 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 桑坦德竞技 vs 比利亚雷?
The AI model leans 比利亚雷 win at 40.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 31.1%, draw 28.3%, away 40.6%. Kickoff 2026-08-16 23:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.