周一004 · 2026-08-18 03:00 · Finished
拉科 vs 埃尔切AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
拉科 win 39.6%
Confidence 7.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 39.6% | 28.8% | 31.6% | 胜 | 7.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.039
Draw
0.026
Away
0.041
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 1.50 | 2.53 | — |
| Draw | 3.25 | 2.11 | 3.47 | — |
| Away | 3.83 | 2.49 | 3.16 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 拉科 vs 埃尔切?
The AI model leans 拉科 win at 39.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 39.6%, draw 28.8%, away 31.6%. Kickoff 2026-08-18 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.