周三002 · 2026-08-20 03:00
马竞 vs 马拉加AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
AI Lean
马竞 win 66.2%
Confidence 45.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 66.2% | 21.1% | 12.7% | 胜 | 45.1% |
| 14-Match | 66.2% | 21.1% | 12.7% | 胜 | 45.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.029
Draw
0.045
Away
0.090
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.52 | 2.29 | 1.51 | — |
| Draw | 4.09 | 2.66 | 4.73 | — |
| Away | 2.11 | 1.37 | 7.87 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 马竞 vs 马拉加?
The AI model leans 马竞 win at 66.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 66.2%, draw 21.1%, away 12.7%. Kickoff 2026-08-20 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.