26105 · 2026-08-16 01:30 · Finished
阿拉维斯 vs 赫塔费AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-0（胜）
AI Lean
阿拉维斯 win 39.9%
Confidence 9.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 39.9% | 30.5% | 29.6% | 胜 | 9.3% |
| 14-Match | 39.9% | 30.5% | 29.6% | 胜 | 9.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.032
Draw
0.030
Away
0.036
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 1.55 | 2.51 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.28 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.38 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 阿拉维斯 vs 赫塔费?
The AI model leans 阿拉维斯 win at 39.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 39.9%, draw 30.5%, away 29.6%. Kickoff 2026-08-16 01:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.