26101 · 2026-08-08 22:00 · Finished
斯旺西 vs 伯明翰AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-1（负）
AI Lean
伯明翰 win 42.1%
Confidence 12.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 29.1% | 28.8% | 42.1% | 负 | 12.9% |
| 14-Match | 29.1% | 28.8% | 42.1% | 负 | 12.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.038
Draw
0.036
Away
0.030
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 3.43 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.47 | — |
| Away | 2.96 | 1.92 | 2.38 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 斯旺西 vs 伯明翰?
The AI model leans 伯明翰 win at 42.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 29.1%, draw 28.8%, away 42.1%. Kickoff 2026-08-08 22:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.