周六006 · 2026-09-19 19:30 · Finished
斯托克城 vs 谢菲联AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
谢菲联 win 43.1%
Confidence 11.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 31.4% | 25.5% | 43.1% | 负 | 11.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.029
Away
0.043
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.01 | 1.96 | 3.18 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.93 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.32 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 斯托克城 vs 谢菲联?
The AI model leans 谢菲联 win at 43.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 31.4%, draw 25.5%, away 43.1%. Kickoff 2026-09-19 19:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.