26120 · 2026-09-09 02:45 · Finished
南安普敦 vs 斯旺西AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-1（胜）
AI Lean
南安普敦 win 48.7%
Confidence 18.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 48.7% | 21.0% | 30.3% | 胜 | 18.4% |
| 14-Match | 48.7% | 21.0% | 30.3% | 胜 | 18.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.024
Draw
0.028
Away
0.041
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 1.06 | 2.05 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.77 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.30 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 南安普敦 vs 斯旺西?
The AI model leans 南安普敦 win at 48.7%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 48.7%, draw 21.0%, away 30.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-09 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.