26126 · 2026-09-16 02:45 · Finished
米堡 vs 米尔沃尔AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-2（平）
AI Lean
米堡 win 56.5%
Confidence 32.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 56.5% | 23.7% | 19.8% | 胜 | 32.8% |
| 14-Match | 56.5% | 23.7% | 19.8% | 胜 | 32.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.021
Draw
0.041
Away
0.062
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.77 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.22 | — |
| Away | 3.72 | 2.42 | 5.04 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 米堡 vs 米尔沃尔?
The AI model leans 米堡 win at 56.5%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 56.5%, draw 23.7%, away 19.8%. Kickoff 2026-09-16 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.