周三011 · 2026-09-03 03:00 · Finished
伯恩利 vs 米堡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
伯恩利 win 39.0%
Confidence 3.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 39.0% | 25.9% | 35.1% | 胜 | 3.9% |
| 14-Match | 39.0% | 25.9% | 35.1% | 胜 | 3.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.030
Away
0.028
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.56 | — |
| Draw | 3.93 | 2.55 | 3.86 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.85 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 伯恩利 vs 米堡?
The AI model leans 伯恩利 win at 39.0%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 39.0%, draw 25.9%, away 35.1%. Kickoff 2026-09-03 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.