周二002 · 2026-09-02 02:45 · Finished
斯旺西 vs 沃特福德AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-0（胜）
AI Lean
斯旺西 win 55.8%
Confidence 32.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 55.8% | 20.6% | 23.6% | 胜 | 32.2% |
| 14-Match | 55.8% | 20.6% | 23.6% | 胜 | 32.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.028
Draw
0.023
Away
0.036
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 1.30 | 1.79 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.85 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.24 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 斯旺西 vs 沃特福德?
The AI model leans 斯旺西 win at 55.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 55.8%, draw 20.6%, away 23.6%. Kickoff 2026-09-02 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.