周二002 · 2026-09-02 02:45
斯旺西 vs 沃特福德AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
AI Lean
斯旺西 win 65.8%
Confidence 46.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 65.8% | 14.9% | 19.3% | 胜 | 46.5% |
| 14-Match | 65.8% | 14.9% | 19.3% | 胜 | 46.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.024
Draw
0.022
Away
0.042
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 0.91 | 1.52 | — |
| Draw | 4.58 | 2.98 | 6.69 | — |
| Away | 14.21 | 9.24 | 5.18 | +EV |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 斯旺西 vs 沃特福德?
The AI model leans 斯旺西 win at 65.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 65.8%, draw 14.9%, away 19.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-02 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.