周二009 · 2026-09-02 03:00 · Finished
斯托克城 vs 诺维奇AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
诺维奇 win 45.3%
Confidence 16.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 25.5% | 29.2% | 45.3% | 负 | 16.1% |
| 14-Match | 25.5% | 29.2% | 45.3% | 负 | 16.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.025
Away
0.024
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.76 | 2.44 | 3.92 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.42 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.21 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 斯托克城 vs 诺维奇?
The AI model leans 诺维奇 win at 45.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 25.5%, draw 29.2%, away 45.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-02 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.