周二009 · 2026-09-02 03:00
斯托克城 vs 诺维奇AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
AI Lean
诺维奇 win 45.1%
Confidence 17.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 27.3% | 27.6% | 45.1% | 负 | 17.5% |
| 14-Match | 27.3% | 27.6% | 45.1% | 负 | 17.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.031
Draw
0.028
Away
0.026
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.70 | 2.41 | 3.66 | — |
| Draw | 7.25 | 4.71 | 3.63 | +EV |
| Away | 1.68 | 1.09 | 2.22 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 斯托克城 vs 诺维奇?
The AI model leans 诺维奇 win at 45.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 27.3%, draw 27.6%, away 45.1%. Kickoff 2026-09-02 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.