周二004 · 2026-09-02 02:45 · Finished
朴次茅斯 vs 德比郡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-2（负）
AI Lean
朴次茅斯 win 40.5%
Confidence 5.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 40.5% | 24.5% | 35.1% | 胜 | 5.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.040
Draw
0.031
Away
0.057
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.47 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.09 | — |
| Away | 4.43 | 2.88 | 2.85 | +EV |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 朴次茅斯 vs 德比郡?
The AI model leans 朴次茅斯 win at 40.5%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 40.5%, draw 24.5%, away 35.1%. Kickoff 2026-09-02 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.