周二004 · 2026-09-02 02:45
朴次茅斯 vs 德比郡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
AI Lean
德比郡 win 39.9%
Confidence 3.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 36.5% | 23.5% | 39.9% | 负 | 3.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.030
Draw
0.019
Away
0.039
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 1.60 | 2.74 | — |
| Draw | 4.08 | 2.65 | 4.25 | — |
| Away | 2.86 | 1.86 | 2.50 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 朴次茅斯 vs 德比郡?
The AI model leans 德比郡 win at 39.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 36.5%, draw 23.5%, away 39.9%. Kickoff 2026-09-02 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.