周一003 · 2026-08-18 03:00 · Finished
加的夫城 vs 雷克斯汉姆AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
加的夫城 win 47.8%
Confidence 18.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 47.8% | 23.2% | 29.1% | 胜 | 18.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.035
Away
0.035
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 1.67 | 2.09 | — |
| Draw | 3.87 | 2.52 | 4.31 | — |
| Away | 2.82 | 1.83 | 3.44 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 加的夫城 vs 雷克斯汉姆?
The AI model leans 加的夫城 win at 47.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 47.8%, draw 23.2%, away 29.1%. Kickoff 2026-08-18 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.