周日017 · 2026-08-16 23:00 · Finished
伯恩利 vs 西汉姆AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-2（平）
AI Lean
Draw 41.5%
Confidence 11.7%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 28.7% | 41.5% | 29.8% | 平 | 11.7% |
| 14-Match | 28.7% | 41.5% | 29.8% | 平 | 11.7% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.047
Draw
0.022
Away
0.033
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 3.49 | — |
| Draw | 3.64 | 2.37 | 2.41 | — |
| Away | — | — | 3.36 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 伯恩利 vs 西汉姆?
The AI model leans Draw at 41.5%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 28.7%, draw 41.5%, away 29.8%. Kickoff 2026-08-16 23:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.