26105 · 2026-08-16 00:30 · Finished
谢菲联 vs 伯明翰AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-0（平）
AI Lean
伯明翰 win 40.8%
Confidence 9.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 31.3% | 28.0% | 40.8% | 负 | 9.5% |
| 14-Match | 31.3% | 28.0% | 40.8% | 负 | 9.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.026
Draw
0.025
Away
0.037
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 3.20 | — |
| Draw | 3.04 | 1.98 | 3.58 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.45 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 谢菲联 vs 伯明翰?
The AI model leans 伯明翰 win at 40.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 31.3%, draw 28.0%, away 40.8%. Kickoff 2026-08-16 00:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.