26105 · 2026-08-15 22:00 · Finished
诺维奇 vs 西布朗AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-2（负）
AI Lean
诺维奇 win 61.6%
Confidence 41.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 61.6% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 胜 | 41.8% |
| 14-Match | 61.6% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 胜 | 41.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.023
Draw
0.026
Away
0.049
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.62 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 5.05 | — |
| Away | 4.06 | 2.64 | 5.38 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 诺维奇 vs 西布朗?
The AI model leans 诺维奇 win at 61.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 61.6%, draw 19.8%, away 18.6%. Kickoff 2026-08-15 22:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.