26130 · 2026-09-19 22:00 · Finished
纽卡斯尔 vs 赫尔城AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
纽卡斯尔 win 52.4%
Confidence 28.3%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 52.4% | 23.5% | 24.1% | 胜 | 28.3% |
| 14-Match | 52.4% | 23.5% | 24.1% | 胜 | 28.3% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.030
Away
0.047
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.91 | — |
| Draw | 3.82 | 2.48 | 4.25 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.15 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 纽卡斯尔 vs 赫尔城?
The AI model leans 纽卡斯尔 win at 52.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 52.4%, draw 23.5%, away 24.1%. Kickoff 2026-09-19 22:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.