周日020 · 2026-09-20 23:30 · Finished
富勒姆 vs 曼联AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
曼联 win 39.2%
Confidence 7.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 32.1% | 28.8% | 39.2% | 负 | 7.1% |
| 14-Match | 32.1% | 28.8% | 39.2% | 负 | 7.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.024
Away
0.036
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 3.12 | — |
| Draw | 3.89 | 2.53 | 3.48 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.55 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 富勒姆 vs 曼联?
The AI model leans 曼联 win at 39.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 32.1%, draw 28.8%, away 39.2%. Kickoff 2026-09-20 23:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.