周一010 · 2026-09-15 03:00 · Finished
利兹联 vs 纽卡斯尔AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 4-1（胜）
AI Lean
纽卡斯尔 win 47.8%
Confidence 19.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 28.5% | 23.7% | 47.8% | 负 | 19.4% |
| 14-Match | 28.5% | 23.7% | 47.8% | 负 | 19.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.028
Draw
0.034
Away
0.032
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 1.70 | 3.51 | — |
| Draw | 3.08 | 2.00 | 4.22 | — |
| Away | 3.40 | 2.21 | 2.09 | +EV |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 利兹联 vs 纽卡斯尔?
The AI model leans 纽卡斯尔 win at 47.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 28.5%, draw 23.7%, away 47.8%. Kickoff 2026-09-15 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.