26123 · 2026-09-12 22:00 · Finished
维拉 vs 诺丁汉森林AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-2（负）
AI Lean
诺丁汉森林 win 41.6%
Confidence 3.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 38.1% | 20.3% | 41.6% | 负 | 3.5% |
| 14-Match | 38.1% | 20.3% | 41.6% | 负 | 3.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.035
Draw
0.023
Away
0.032
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.62 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.93 | — |
| Away | 3.45 | 2.24 | 2.40 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 维拉 vs 诺丁汉森林?
The AI model leans 诺丁汉森林 win at 41.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 38.1%, draw 20.3%, away 41.6%. Kickoff 2026-09-12 22:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.