周六004 · 2026-09-05 19:30 · Finished
纽卡斯尔 vs 伯恩茅斯AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-2（平）
AI Lean
纽卡斯尔 win 59.1%
Confidence 37.0%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 59.1% | 22.1% | 18.7% | 胜 | 37.0% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.023
Away
0.045
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.69 | — |
| Draw | 3.38 | 2.20 | 4.52 | — |
| Away | — | — | 5.34 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 纽卡斯尔 vs 伯恩茅斯?
The AI model leans 纽卡斯尔 win at 59.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 59.1%, draw 22.1%, away 18.7%. Kickoff 2026-09-05 19:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.