26118 · 2026-09-05 22:00 · Finished
曼城 vs 考文垂AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
曼城 win 71.1%
Confidence 55.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 71.1% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 胜 | 55.8% |
| 14-Match | 71.1% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 胜 | 55.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.022
Draw
0.056
Away
0.094
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.41 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 6.52 | — |
| Away | 3.29 | 2.14 | 7.36 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 曼城 vs 考文垂?
The AI model leans 曼城 win at 71.1%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 71.1%, draw 15.3%, away 13.6%. Kickoff 2026-09-05 22:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.