26118 · 2026-09-05 22:00 · Finished
富勒姆 vs 水晶宫AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-3（负）
AI Lean
Draw 45.4%
Confidence 10.2%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 19.4% | 45.4% | 35.2% | 平 | 10.2% |
| 14-Match | 19.4% | 45.4% | 35.2% | 平 | 10.2% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.031
Draw
0.026
Away
0.047
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 5.16 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 2.20 | — |
| Away | 3.79 | 2.46 | 2.84 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 富勒姆 vs 水晶宫?
The AI model leans Draw at 45.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 19.4%, draw 45.4%, away 35.2%. Kickoff 2026-09-05 22:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.