26097 · 2026-07-31 03:00 · Finished
本菲卡 vs 圣加仑AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 5-0（胜）
AI Lean
本菲卡 win 79.3%
Confidence 66.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14-Match | 79.3% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 胜 | 66.1% |
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.02 | 2.61 | 1.26 | — |
| Draw | 12.75 | 8.29 | 7.60 | — |
| Away | 1.48 | 0.96 | 13.18 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 本菲卡 vs 圣加仑?
The AI model leans 本菲卡 win at 79.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 79.3%, draw 13.2%, away 7.6%. Kickoff 2026-07-31 03:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.