周四204 · 2026-07-24 02:00 · Finished
圣加仑 vs 本菲卡AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-1（胜）
AI Lean
本菲卡 win 71.9%
Confidence 57.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 13.8% | 14.3% | 71.9% | 负 | 57.6% |
| 14-Match | 13.8% | 14.3% | 71.9% | 负 | 57.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.076
Draw
0.064
Away
0.028
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.14 | 3.34 | 7.27 | — |
| Draw | 4.09 | 2.66 | 6.98 | — |
| Away | 1.78 | 1.16 | 1.39 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 圣加仑 vs 本菲卡?
The AI model leans 本菲卡 win at 71.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 13.8%, draw 14.3%, away 71.9%. Kickoff 2026-07-24 02:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.