周三001 · 2026-07-29 23:00 · Finished
阿拉木图凯拉特 vs 奥莫尼亚AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-0（胜）
AI Lean
阿拉木图凯拉特 win 49.8%
Confidence 22.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 49.8% | 22.8% | 27.4% | 胜 | 22.5% |
| 14-Match | 49.8% | 22.8% | 27.4% | 胜 | 22.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.024
Draw
0.036
Away
0.049
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 1.29 | 2.01 | — |
| Draw | 3.51 | 2.28 | 4.39 | — |
| Away | 4.65 | 3.02 | 3.65 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 阿拉木图凯拉特 vs 奥莫尼亚?
The AI model leans 阿拉木图凯拉特 win at 49.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 49.8%, draw 22.8%, away 27.4%. Kickoff 2026-07-29 23:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.