26129 · 2026-09-19 02:00 · Finished
兰斯 vs 蒙彼利埃AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
兰斯 win 43.4%
Confidence 11.6%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 43.4% | 31.7% | 24.9% | 胜 | 11.6% |
| 14-Match | 43.4% | 31.7% | 24.9% | 胜 | 11.6% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.054
Draw
0.028
Away
0.079
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.31 | — |
| Draw | 2.99 | 1.94 | 3.15 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.02 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 兰斯 vs 蒙彼利埃?
The AI model leans 兰斯 win at 43.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 43.4%, draw 31.7%, away 24.9%. Kickoff 2026-09-19 02:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.