26104 · 2026-08-15 02:45 · Finished
圣埃蒂安 vs 克莱蒙AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 3-1（胜）
AI Lean
圣埃蒂安 win 53.8%
Confidence 24.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 53.8% | 28.9% | 17.3% | 胜 | 24.9% |
| 14-Match | 53.8% | 28.9% | 17.3% | 胜 | 24.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.049
Away
0.108
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 1.55 | 1.86 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.46 | — |
| Away | — | — | 5.78 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 圣埃蒂安 vs 克莱蒙?
The AI model leans 圣埃蒂安 win at 53.8%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 53.8%, draw 28.9%, away 17.3%. Kickoff 2026-08-15 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.