周六021 · 2026-08-09 02:45 · Finished
南特 vs 圣旺红星AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-1（负）
AI Lean
南特 win 47.4%
Confidence 17.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 47.4% | 30.3% | 22.4% | 胜 | 17.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.024
Draw
0.038
Away
0.065
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 2.11 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 3.30 | — |
| Away | 5.46 | 3.55 | 4.47 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 南特 vs 圣旺红星?
The AI model leans 南特 win at 47.4%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 47.4%, draw 30.3%, away 22.4%. Kickoff 2026-08-09 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.