周六020 · 2026-08-09 02:45 · Finished
蒙彼利埃 vs 第戎AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 1-1（平）
AI Lean
蒙彼利埃 win 50.2%
Confidence 23.8%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 50.2% | 26.4% | 23.4% | 胜 | 23.8% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.033
Draw
0.036
Away
0.053
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.99 | — |
| Draw | 3.72 | 2.42 | 3.79 | — |
| Away | — | — | 4.27 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 蒙彼利埃 vs 第戎?
The AI model leans 蒙彼利埃 win at 50.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 50.2%, draw 26.4%, away 23.4%. Kickoff 2026-08-09 02:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.