周五006 · 2026-09-12 02:00 · Finished
马斯特里 vs 阿尔梅勒AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 0-4（负）
AI Lean
阿尔梅勒 win 40.9%
Confidence 6.1%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 24.2% | 34.9% | 40.9% | 负 | 6.1% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.047
Draw
0.031
Away
0.041
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP Reference
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 4.13 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 2.87 | — |
| Away | 2.39 | 1.55 | 2.44 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 马斯特里 vs 阿尔梅勒?
The AI model leans 阿尔梅勒 win at 40.9%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 24.2%, draw 34.9%, away 40.9%. Kickoff 2026-09-12 02:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.