26126 · 2026-09-16 02:00 · Finished
阿贾克斯 vs 威廉二世AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 5-1（胜）
AI Lean
阿贾克斯 win 80.2%
Confidence 67.5%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 80.2% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 胜 | 67.5% |
| 14-Match | 80.2% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 胜 | 67.5% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.021
Draw
0.097
Away
0.145
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-2)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 1.40 | 1.25 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 7.84 | — |
| Away | — | — | 14.27 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 阿贾克斯 vs 威廉二世?
The AI model leans 阿贾克斯 win at 80.2%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 80.2%, draw 12.8%, away 7.0%. Kickoff 2026-09-16 02:00.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.