周日007 · 2026-09-06 20:30 · Finished
海伦芬 vs 阿尔克马AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-3（负）
AI Lean
阿尔克马 win 47.3%
Confidence 18.9%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 28.3% | 24.4% | 47.3% | 负 | 18.9% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.040
Draw
0.027
Away
0.031
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (+1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 3.53 | — |
| Draw | 5.30 | 3.44 | 4.10 | — |
| Away | — | — | 2.12 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 海伦芬 vs 阿尔克马?
The AI model leans 阿尔克马 win at 47.3%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 28.3%, draw 24.4%, away 47.3%. Kickoff 2026-09-06 20:30.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.