周日016 · 2026-08-16 22:45 · Finished
阿贾克斯 vs 海伦芬AI Win/Draw/Loss Prediction & Three-Model Analysis
Final score: 2-2（平）
AI Lean
阿贾克斯 win 50.6%
Confidence 23.4%
| Model | Home | Draw | Away | Pick | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly | 50.6% | 22.3% | 27.2% | 胜 | 23.4% |
| 14-Match | 50.6% | 22.3% | 27.2% | 胜 | 23.4% |
Kelly Index
Home
0.027
Draw
0.034
Away
0.058
How to read this? See the Kelly Index guide.
Beidan SP ReferenceHandicap (-1)
Beidan pays stake × SP × 65% (adjusted values below). Fair odds = 1 ÷ model probability; adjusted SP above fair odds suggests positive expected value (directional only under a handicap line).
| Outcome | SP | Adjusted (×0.65) | Fair odds | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | — | — | 1.98 | — |
| Draw | — | — | 4.49 | — |
| Away | 3.71 | 2.41 | 3.68 | — |
SPs are reference values; settlement uses closing SPs. See the Beidan guide and parlay calculator.
FAQ
Who will win 阿贾克斯 vs 海伦芬?
The AI model leans 阿贾克斯 win at 50.6%. Probabilities are not certainties; compare all three models and historical hit rates.
What are the win/draw/loss probabilities?
Home 50.6%, draw 22.3%, away 27.2%. Kickoff 2026-08-16 22:45.
Disclaimer: AI-generated data analysis for reference only, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.